Post Reporting Season: Stocks to Fire & Hire From Emanuel Datt
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Post Reporting Season: Stocks to Fire & Hire From Emanuel Datt

With reporting season complete, our CIO Emanuel Datt shares his high-conviction calls on which stocks to avoid and where disciplined investors should focus.

~ 2 min. read

By: Emanuel Datt, Principal

Small Companies Fund Performance: May 2025 Update
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In the current interview with Livewire Markets, our CIO Emanuel Datt shared his perspective on stocks to fire and six to hire following the latest reporting cycle. The discussion reinforced a central theme: in a higher cost-of-capital environment, structural profitability and execution discipline matter more than narrative.

Two stocks illustrate the divergence clearly: WiseTech Global as a hire, and Bapcor as a fire.

To hire: WiseTech Global (ASX: WTC)

The investment thesis for WiseTech Global (ASX:WTC) rests on a structural shift in profitability, characterized by widening "positive jaws" where revenue growth significantly outpaces a contracting cost base.

WiseTech’s transition to a transaction-based pricing model decouples revenue from headcount. This ensures the company captures the upside of global trade volumes and customer productivity gains without incremental cost. Simultaneously, management is executing a radical AI-driven transformation, targeting a 50% headcount reduction in product and customer service roles by FY27. Historically, WiseTech has over-delivered on efficiency. The early realization of $50 million in synergies from the e2open acquisition, 18 months ahead of schedule, further validates this track record of execution.

WiseTech has been built on deep vertical integration within the $11 trillion global logistics industry. The platform processes 90 million+ ocean containers and 80% of manufactured trade flows, creating a "system of record" that is nearly impossible to displace. With churn rates below 1%, this mission critical software is essential for its clients.

For the disciplined investor, WTC offers a rare combination: a mission-critical utility with the margin profile of a high-growth software scaler and a potential explosion in free cash generation driven by AI adoption and the new pricing model.

To fire: Bapcor Limited (ASX: BAP)

Bapcor Limited (ASX:BAP) has shifted from a turnaround play to a cautionary tale of structural decline and balance sheet distress. The stock remains an avoid due to the challenges that remain internally and more broadly externally.

Bapcor shareholders have been significantly diluted following its planned $200 million capital raise announced in conjunction with its results, to reduce its leverage. Whilst Net leverage is expected to drop to 1.7x, this debt overhang remains high for a business tethered to the volatile discretionary retail sector.

The statutory loss of $104.8 million exposes deep-seated operational and cultural failures specifically in inventory management, employee retention and merchandising mix. This has caused underlying NPAT to collapse to just $5.5 million.

While new CEO Chris Wilesmith brings significant experience, the path to recovery is obstructed by legacy ERP systems and a difficult macro environment. Without a radical, rapid simplification of its business, Bapcor may remain in limbo for some time.

Why This Matters for Investors

Markets are transitioning from liquidity-driven expansion to capital discipline. In this environment, businesses with structural advantages, scalable economics, and proprietary systems are likely to outperform.

WiseTech reflects a company leveraging AI and pricing power to enhance margins. Bapcor illustrates the consequences of operational fragility and balance sheet strain.

For investors evaluating small companies funds or broader technology allocations, the focus must remain on durable competitive advantages, cash generation, and management execution.

In volatile markets, discipline is not optional. It is essential.

At Datt Capital, as an independent investment manager Australia investors trust, we prioritise structural winners over speculative narratives.

To explore how we position capital across absolute return funds and small companies funds, and how we assess undervalued companies Australia-wide, review our latest fund insights or contact our Head of Distribution, Daniel Liptak for further information.